trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -98.1% | -98.3% | 0% | 0% | -96.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -98.1% | -98.3% | 0% | 0% | -96.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -98.1% | -98.3% | 0% | 0% | -96.4% |
| all | 21 | -60.0% | -63.8% | 14% | 5% | -29.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -63.8% | 5% | -29.3% |
| 10% | -67.3% | 0% | -36.0% |
| 15% | -70.4% | 0% | -42.2% |
| 20% | -73.3% | 0% | -47.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | Jun 28 | $67 | −$63 | -94% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | Jun 28 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada? | Jun 28 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Feb 28 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Feb 28 | $93 | −$93 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Feb 28 | $136 | −$80 | -59% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10AM ET | Feb 28 | $180 | −$75 | -42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Feb 28 | $49 | −$48 | -99% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Feb 28 | $562 | $0 | +0% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Feb 28 | $615 | −$54 | -9% |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Feb 24 | $29 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Feb 24 | $1,080 | +$229 | +21% |
| Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? | Feb 23 | $158 | −$42 | -26% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | Feb 23 | $145 | +$9 | +6% |
| Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? | Feb 23 | $100 | −$69 | -69% |
| Will Binance be accused of insider trading? | Feb 23 | $58 | −$19 | -33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | Feb 08 | $244 | −$161 | -66% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | Feb 08 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | Feb 08 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | Feb 08 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3PM ET | Feb 08 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |