Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T22:51:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C5 0xc506…2ceb crypto 215 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (130 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate55%118W / 95L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day130.1pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$82
sports 12% −$9
other 1% −$6
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (130 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 213 -1.6% -11.0% 55% 40% -13.9%
≤30d 213 -1.6% -11.0% 55% 40% -13.9%
≤90d 213 -1.6% -11.0% 55% 40% -13.9%
all 213 -1.6% -11.0% 55% 40% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover130.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 40% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 27% -22.1%
15% -27.3% 19% -29.7%
20% -34.4% 14% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses118 / 95
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)213 / 215
History coverage6d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day130.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 213 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 Jun 18 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $13 −$6 -42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $2 $0 +20%
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $14 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $11 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $15 −$10 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +13%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 18 $3 −$1 -26%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Corners Jun 18 $10 −$3 -31%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $2 +$1 +68%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $1 +$1 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $33 +$1 +2%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $5 +$1 +16%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +31%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $3 $0 +6%
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1PM ET Jun 18 $16 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $16 +$10 +64%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11AM ET Jun 18 $27 −$26 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $16 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $35 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 92¢ $23 2m
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 82¢ $10 17m
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 80¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 27m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 92¢ $2 30m
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) SELL Canada 99¢ $30 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $6 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 866 history records