trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 82% | 53% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 28 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 79% | 43% | -16.9% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 79% | 43% | -16.9% |
| all | 28 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 79% | 43% | -16.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 43% | -16.9% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 25% | -24.9% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 14% | -32.1% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 7% | -38.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | $250 | $310 | +$60 (+24%) |
| Will New Zealand reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 92¢ | 98¢ | $210 | $226 | +$16 (+8%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $200 | $224 | +$24 (+12%) |
| Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $102 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 81¢ | 81¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match? | Yes | 98¢ | 90¢ | $60 | $56 | −$4 (-7%) |
| Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA Wo | Jun 25 | $32 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA Wor | Jun 25 | $101 | +$45 | +44% |
| Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA W | Jun 25 | $100 | +$35 | +35% |
| Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Ecuador vs Germany | Jun 25 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will the announcers say "Neymar" 5+ times during the Scotland vs Brazi | Jun 25 | $100 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$26 | +26% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$21 | +21% |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $30 | +$23 | +76% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA | Jun 23 | $200 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIF | Jun 23 | $100 | +$13 | +13% |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $101 | +$38 | +38% |
| Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $201 | +$52 | +26% |
| Will the announcers say "Messi" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World C | Jun 22 | $100 | +$3 | +4% |
| Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the France vs Iraq FIFA W | Jun 22 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $101 | −$100 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $101 | +$87 | +86% |
| Will Ao Tanaka be in Japan's Starting 11? | Jun 14 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will Zion Suzuki be in Japan's Starting 11? | Jun 14 | $200 | +$9 | +4% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $201 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Danilo be in Brazil's Starting 11? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Alex Freeman be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA | Jun 13 | $201 | +$18 | +9% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $201 | +$34 | +17% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $201 | +$22 | +11% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $100 | +$8 | +8% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $100 | +$7 | +7% |