trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +23.4% | +11.6% | 33% | 17% | -8.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +13.6% | +2.8% | 33% | 11% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +13.6% | +2.8% | 33% | 11% | -10.0% |
| all | 27 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 52% | 4% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.0% | 4% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -14.1% | 4% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -22.4% | 4% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -30.0% | 4% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $36 | $36 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $41 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $39 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $16 | −$3 | -18% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 10 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 09 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 09 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of N | Jun 05 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Apr 09 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 08 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? | Apr 07 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship? | Apr 06 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 06 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 05 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethereum above $2,000 on April 4? | Apr 04 | $29 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31? | Apr 03 | $27 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 31 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? | Mar 31 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April? | Mar 30 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| OX.FUN insolvent before April? | Mar 29 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Environmental Protection Agency be most efficient on March 31 | Mar 29 | $28 | $0 | +2% |