Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:57:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc52a…88ba
other · 26 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$12 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29 · open −$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$272
Realized+$29
Unrealized−$31
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses5 / 7
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions14
Markets (closed)12 / 26
History coverage3d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day13.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit27%
Chart Positions 14 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days+$29
14 days+$29
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 42¢ 46¢ $30 $33 +$3 (+11%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 69¢ $15 $21 +$6 (+42%)
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 24¢ 14¢ $35 $20 −$15 (-43%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 54¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 42¢ 41¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 44¢ 39¢ $22 $19 −$2 (-11%)
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 22¢ 20¢ $19 $17 −$2 (-11%)
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 30¢ 26¢ $19 $17 −$2 (-12%)
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-9%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $25 $10 −$15 (-61%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-11%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 14¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Yes 14¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 65¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Yes $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $53 +$23 +43%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $13 +$13 +95%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -99%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$39 -77%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $45 +$53 +116%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $63 +$27 +43%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $40 +$17 +42%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 81% +$4
sports 14% −$6
crypto 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 18¢ $9 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $32 1h
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan? BUY Yes 57¢ $15 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $20 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $13 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 95¢ $75 1h
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $11 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $26 6h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $17 25h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $26 25h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $26 25h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $15 25h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $25 25h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $13 25h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 65¢ $19 25h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $11 32h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 13¢ $11 32h
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 30¢ $19 2d
Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 42¢ $20 2d
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 44¢ $22 2d
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 42¢ $31 2d
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 31¢ $26 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 82¢ $98 2d
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 22¢ $19 2d
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $13 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $51 2d
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 14¢ $15 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $90 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 71¢ $29 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 74¢ $30 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-35.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -28.1% -35.0% 42% 42% -1.5%
≤30d 12 -28.1% -35.0% 42% 42% -1.5%
≤90d 12 -28.1% -35.0% 42% 42% -1.5%
all 12 -28.1% -35.0% 42% 42% -1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.0% 42% -1.5%
10% -41.2% 42% -10.9%
15% -46.9% 42% -19.5%
20% -52.1% 17% -27.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $271.73 · official $271.73 (match) · 44 history records