Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:49:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C5 0xc535…3f3f crypto 1180 markets active 1h ago coverage 23d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$87 (-2%) realized −$55 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate74%876W / 304L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day98.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$18
14 days−$43
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$50
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -21.3% -28.8% 75% 0% -16.0%
≤30d 1180 -1.7% -11.0% 74% 37% -10.8%
≤90d 1180 -1.7% -11.0% 74% 37% -10.8%
all 1180 -1.7% -11.0% 74% 37% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover98.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 37% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 13% -19.3%
15% -27.3% 6% -27.1%
20% -34.5% 4% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses876 / 304
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1180 / 1180
History coverage23d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day98.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1180 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 27h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records