Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc537…7447
crypto · 343 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$82 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses230 / 112
Open positions1
Markets (closed)342 / 343
History coverage34d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day15.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$42
14 days−$42
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$17 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$17 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$16 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$16 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$17 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$18 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$18 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$17 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$14 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$42 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$23 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 12 $5 −$3 -57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +1.3% -8.3% 65% 57% -14.4%
≤30d 49 +1.3% -8.3% 65% 57% -14.4%
≤90d 342 -2.4% -11.7% 67% 45% -12.9%
all 342 -2.4% -11.7% 67% 45% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 45% -12.9%
10% -20.2% 21% -21.3%
15% -27.9% 10% -28.9%
20% -35.0% 5% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.33 · official $7.29 (match) · 709 history records