Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:18:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc547…7b30
crypto · 419 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,683 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,679 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$143
Realized−$1,679
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses211 / 208
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)419 / 419
History coverage2d
Avg bet$189
Trades / day1658.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 419 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,679
7 days−$1,679
14 days−$1,679
30 days−$1,679
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 70¢ 76¢ $103 $110 +$7 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 28¢ 24¢ $30 $26 −$4 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+192%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $109 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $250 −$43 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $132 −$13 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$18 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $133 +$27 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$15 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $152 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $194 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$15 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $227 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $259 +$18 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $214 +$25 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $116 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$9 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $185 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $274 −$17 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $335 −$13 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $232 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$30 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $129 −$9 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$21 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $190 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $275 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$16 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$12 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $121 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $190 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $120 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$21 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $151 +$9 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$20 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $249 −$25 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$16 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $238 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$11 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$37 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$13 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $111 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $185 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$19 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$10 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,683
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $28 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $35 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $22 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $12 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $27 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $27 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $12 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $12 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $16 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $36 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $27 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $69 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $31 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $47 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $40 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $41 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $45 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $19 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 419 +4.1% -5.8% 50% 29% -11.4%
≤30d 419 +4.1% -5.8% 50% 29% -11.4%
≤90d 419 +4.1% -5.8% 50% 29% -11.4%
all 419 +4.1% -5.8% 50% 29% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1658.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 29% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 19% -19.9%
15% -23.0% 13% -27.6%
20% -30.6% 10% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $142.78 · official $133.34 · 3500 history records