trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 38% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 38% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 26 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 50% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -22.1% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 48¢ | 48¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 06 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $61 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 28 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 26 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 26 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $79 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 01 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 23 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Patriots draft Travis Hunter in 2025? | Apr 19 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 19 | $11 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on March 31? | Mar 29 | $2 | $0 | -30% |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28? | Mar 28 | $13 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 21 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | Mar 20 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 11 | $3 | $0 | -2% |