Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:37:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc554…ec21
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$31 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses4 / 6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)10 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$20 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$23 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$54
other 14% +$23
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-30.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -23.3% -30.6% 40% 30% -26.6%
≤30d 10 -23.3% -30.6% 40% 30% -26.6%
≤90d 10 -23.3% -30.6% 40% 30% -26.6%
all 10 -23.3% -30.6% 40% 30% -26.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.6% 30% -26.6%
10% -37.2% 30% -33.6%
15% -43.3% 20% -40.0%
20% -48.9% 20% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.50 · official $0.50 (match) · 25 history records