Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T05:57:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C5 0xc55f…fdf0 crypto 2011 markets active 1h ago coverage 68d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 67d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$310 (-2%) realized −$310 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate72%1464W / 575L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day29.9pace
Kalshi-fit76%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$9
14 days+$185
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$440
other 7% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -55.7% -59.9% 38% 23% -8.2%
≤30d 542 -11.3% -19.8% 69% 40% -9.4%
≤90d 2039 -4.2% -13.3% 72% 47% -11.9%
all 2039 -4.2% -13.3% 72% 47% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 47% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 25% -20.3%
15% -29.2% 16% -28.0%
20% -36.1% 10% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

68d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$310
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1464 / 575
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2039 / 2011
History coverage68d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day29.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2039 Trades
no open positions (498 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $92 +$9 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $90 +$11 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $92 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $90 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $96 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $93 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $87 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $49 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.42 · official $2.42 (match) · 3500 history records