Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:44:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc570…b9b6
other · 39 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses16 / 23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage293d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 14 $102 −$2 -2%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 13 $80 +$1 +1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 10 $53 −$1 -2%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 10 $92 +$4 +4%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 07 $4 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 05 $2 $0 +2%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 11 $14 $0 +0%
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? Sep 11 $24 $0 -1%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 11 $26 $0 -0%
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? Sep 10 $14 $0 +0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? Sep 09 $22 $0 +2%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Sep 09 $27 $0 -0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia? Sep 09 $18 $0 -0%
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? Sep 08 $17 $0 +0%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Sep 02 $17 $0 +0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Sep 02 $26 $0 -1%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? Sep 02 $17 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Sep 02 $17 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? Sep 02 $17 $0 -0%
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Aug 28 $17 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $145 in August? Aug 28 $17 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $150 in August? Aug 28 $17 $0 +0%
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Aug 27 $17 $0 +0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 27 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4000 and $4200 on August 27? Aug 27 $16 $0 +0%
Was Kanye hacked? Aug 27 $24 $0 +1%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Aug 26 $15 $0 +0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 26 $25 $0 -0%
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? Aug 26 $61 $0 +0%
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? Aug 26 $26 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Aug 26 $6 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 26 $13 $0 +1%
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Aug 26 $26 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? Aug 26 $5 $0 +2%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Aug 25 $37 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4400 and $4500 on August 25? Aug 25 $38 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 40% +$1
other 19% +$1
politics 12% $0
crypto 10% $0
culture 7% $0
sports 5% $0
economics 4% $0
tech 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 84¢ $50 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 84¢ $50 8h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $8 14h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $8 16h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 85¢ $31 18h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 83¢ $31 21h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $49 21h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $50 24h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 96¢ $49 30h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 96¢ $49 31h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $32 44h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $6 47h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $38 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 73¢ $50 3d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 76¢ $52 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 55¢ $52 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 56¢ $53 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 76¢ $8 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 76¢ $40 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 75¢ $31 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 75¢ $16 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 78¢ $48 5d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 73¢ $45 5d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL Yes 4¢ $3 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 8d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 8d
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 96¢ $14 276d
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? SELL No 97¢ $24 276d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +0.2% -9.3% 57% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 9 +0.5% -9.1% 56% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 9 +0.5% -9.1% 56% 0% -9.2%
all 39 +0.2% -9.3% 41% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.1%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 106 history records