trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 22% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 22% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 18 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 33% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.7% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 07 | $59 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 05 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 04 | $29 | $0 | +2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Jun 27 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 18 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 14? | Mar 16 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 13 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Oklahoma State vs. UCF | Mar 04 | $13 | −$4 | -28% |
| Will Trump's 2025 joint address get <34m viewers? | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Xavier vs. Butler | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |