Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:59:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
C5 0xc5a1…f018 crypto 308 markets active 4d ago coverage 29d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$62 (+2%) realized +$62 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate54%166W / 142L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day32.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$33
14 days−$13
30 days−$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -5.5% -14.5% 55% 55% -20.3%
≤30d 212 -1.3% -10.7% 52% 51% -15.0%
≤90d 308 +5.6% -4.5% 54% 52% -8.3%
all 308 +5.6% -4.5% 54% 52% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 52% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 50% -17.1%
15% -22.0% 45% -25.1%
20% -29.6% 36% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$9 · ×0.87 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses166 / 142
Open positions0
Markets (closed)308 / 308
History coverage29d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 308 Trades
no open positions (130 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$9 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$8 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$5 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$10 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$9 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1102 history records