trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +7.7% | -2.6% | 100% | 20% | -1.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +6.9% | -3.3% | 71% | 36% | -3.3% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +5.6% | -4.5% | 67% | 33% | -3.4% |
| all | 17 | +5.5% | -4.5% | 71% | 29% | -3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.5% | 29% | -3.4% |
| 10% | -13.7% | 12% | -12.6% |
| 15% | -22.0% | 12% | -21.1% |
| 20% | -29.7% | 12% | -28.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $64 | $63 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $54 | $54 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $43 | $43 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $43 | $43 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Jun 20 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | Jun 20 | $29 | +$3 | +9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | Jun 20 | $31 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $55 | +$8 | +15% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $64 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $36 | −$1 | -4% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +13% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 30 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +65% |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | May 30 | $3 | +$2 | +73% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | -13% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $1 | $0 | +5% |