Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T14:48:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
C5 0xc5a5…757f crypto 203 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$123 (+1%) realized +$123 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%202W / 1L
Drawdown4%max
Avg bet$59per market
Trades / day88.8pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$121
other 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 203 +0.5% -9.0% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 203 +0.5% -9.0% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤90d 203 +0.5% -9.0% 100% 0% -8.6%
all 203 +0.5% -9.0% 100% 0% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover88.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 0% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 0% -17.3%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.3%
20% -33.0% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×25.91 per $1 lost it wins $25.91
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses202 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)203 / 203
History coverage3d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day88.8
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 203 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 21 $26 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 21 $51 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 21 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 21 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 21 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 21 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 21 $89 +$12 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 20 $58 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $91 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 447 history records