Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:05:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5aa…3e2c
crypto · 151 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$4 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses92 / 59
Open positions0
Markets (closed)151 / 151
History coverage23d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day13.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -8.7% -17.4% 58% 49% -4.8%
≤30d 151 -6.7% -15.6% 61% 48% -8.4%
≤90d 151 -6.7% -15.6% 61% 48% -8.4%
all 151 -6.7% -15.6% 61% 48% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 48% -8.4%
10% -23.7% 34% -17.2%
15% -31.0% 23% -25.2%
20% -37.8% 16% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 364 history records