Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:37:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C5 0xc5b3…30d2 crypto 398 markets active 2d ago coverage 68d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$56 (-8%) realized −$56 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate67%267W / 131L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day6.2pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$8
14 days−$12
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$64
other 13% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -24.3% -31.5% 47% 47% -22.9%
≤30d 53 -22.8% -30.1% 55% 55% -25.5%
≤90d 398 -10.7% -19.2% 67% 52% -18.7%
all 398 -10.7% -19.2% 67% 52% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.2% 52% -18.7%
10% -26.9% 44% -26.5%
15% -34.0% 24% -33.6%
20% -40.4% 14% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

68d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses267 / 131
Open positions0
Markets (closed)398 / 398
History coverage68d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 398 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$6 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +67%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +48%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +33%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +62%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 834 history records