Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5bf…1c9a
crypto · 170 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$128
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses159 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)163 / 170
History coverage6d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 7 History 163 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 93¢ 100¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? No 95¢ 100¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 96¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +3%
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $40 −$20 -49%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$15
politics 5% +$4
finance 4% −$19
other 2% +$2
sports 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 163 +0.6% -8.9% 98% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 163 +0.6% -8.9% 98% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 163 +0.6% -8.9% 98% 0% -9.6%
all 163 +0.6% -8.9% 98% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.6% 0% -26.1%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $128.15 · official $128.15 (match) · 333 history records