Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:11:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5c4…fa96
crypto · 12 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses6 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -4.7% -13.8% 50% 50% -9.7%
≤30d 12 -4.7% -13.8% 50% 50% -9.7%
≤90d 12 -4.7% -13.8% 50% 50% -9.7%
all 12 -4.7% -13.8% 50% 50% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 50% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 50% -18.4%
15% -29.6% 42% -26.3%
20% -36.5% 33% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 27 history records