Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5c8…5e53
sports · 345 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,514 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,986 · open −$1,472
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$2,986
Unrealized−$1,472
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses197 / 146
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$848
Open positions2
Markets (closed)343 / 345
History coverage14d
Avg bet$250
Trades / day234.4
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 343 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days+$2,815
14 days+$2,986
30 days+$2,986
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 46¢ 0¢ $1,342 $1 −$1,341 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 37¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$131 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,156 +$172 +15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,888 −$86 -5%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $37 +$19 +50%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,693 +$108 +6%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,285 −$32 -2%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $182 +$123 +67%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $549 −$27 -5%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,253 −$82 -7%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,486 −$403 -27%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $511 −$94 -18%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $337 −$31 -9%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $421 +$38 +9%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $412 +$60 +14%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $23 −$23 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $484 +$174 +36%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $258 +$49 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $899 −$8 -1%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,547 −$96 -6%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $297 +$171 +58%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $222 +$34 +15%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $170 +$16 +9%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $177 +$16 +9%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $392 +$28 +7%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $635 +$59 +9%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $556 +$49 +9%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $1,245 +$44 +4%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $828 +$82 +10%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $25 −$1 -2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $548 +$584 +107%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1,857 +$56 +3%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $342 +$24 +7%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $278 −$91 -33%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,159 +$63 +5%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $1,590 −$104 -7%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $355 +$368 +104%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,993 +$196 +10%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,744 +$40 +2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $924 +$56 +6%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $788 +$105 +13%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,369 +$40 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $2,263 −$576 -25%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $199 −$22 -11%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,249 −$12 -1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $853 +$240 +28%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $414 +$81 +20%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $820 −$103 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,516
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $2,926 41m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ $251 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 11¢ $13 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 78¢ $313 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 78¢ $183 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 25¢ $7 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 24¢ $7 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 21¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 23¢ $19 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $178 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $151 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ $104 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ $4 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $209 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $70 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $96 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $78 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 42¢ $38 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $61 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $818 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 82¢ $39 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ $173 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $66 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $11 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $92 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $45 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $30 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $40 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 +4.8% -5.2% 64% 34% -5.1%
≤30d 343 +14.4% +3.5% 57% 40% -6.2%
≤90d 343 +14.4% +3.5% 57% 40% -6.2%
all 343 +14.4% +3.5% 57% 40% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover234.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.5% 40% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -6.4% 33% -15.2%
15% -15.5% 24% -23.4%
20% -23.8% 17% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.63 · official $1.63 (match) · 3500 history records