Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:14:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5d0…2eb5
crypto · 53 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$18 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$19
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses22 / 19
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions12
Markets (closed)41 / 53
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 12 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$11 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$8 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$28 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +61%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$20
other 3% −$2
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $15 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $15 27m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 63¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 42m
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 57m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -6.2% -15.2% 54% 49% -5.2%
≤30d 41 -6.2% -15.2% 54% 49% -5.2%
≤90d 41 -6.2% -15.2% 54% 49% -5.2%
all 41 -6.2% -15.2% 54% 49% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 49% -5.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 41% -14.3%
15% -30.7% 29% -22.6%
20% -37.5% 27% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.78 · official $10.78 (match) · 114 history records