Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:49:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C5
0xc5d9…d385
crypto · 985 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$179 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$260 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$260
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses827 / 158
Open positions0
Markets (closed)985 / 985
History coverage73d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 985 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days−$7
14 days−$46
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +35%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or higher on April 8? Jun 14 $10 +$8 +85%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C or higher on April 8 Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$151
other 10% −$21
weather 1% −$88
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -3.0% -12.2% 71% 71% -11.1%
≤30d 201 -9.0% -17.7% 69% 61% -14.8%
≤90d 985 -2.3% -11.6% 84% 31% -12.4%
all 985 -2.3% -11.6% 84% 31% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 31% -12.4%
10% -20.0% 26% -20.8%
15% -27.8% 11% -28.4%
20% -34.9% 2% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3359 history records