Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0xc5f1…3284

sports · 3 markets active 1h ago

0.0score

−$29 -30%

TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$23

avoidriskycopy

✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$20

Realized−$6

Unrealized−$23

Win rate (resolved)0%

Wins / losses0 / 1

Est. fees paid−$1

Open positions2

Markets (closed)1 / 3

History coverage1d

Avg bet$33

Trades / day4.0

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit67%

Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days−$6

7 days−$6

14 days−$6

30 days−$6

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	36¢	18¢	$37	$18	−$19 (-51%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	68¢	23¢	$6	$2	−$4 (-66%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Jun 13	$53	−$6	-12%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

other 54% −$6

sports 46% −$23

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	BUY Over	36¢	$39	1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	BUY Over	68¢	$6	1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	SELL Yes	58¢	$47	1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	BUY Yes	59¢	$53	8h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

negative after costs — do not copy

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +0%

net ROI/market (all)-19.9%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	1	-11.5%	-19.9%	0%	0%	-19.9%
≤30d	1	-11.5%	-19.9%	0%	0%	-19.9%
≤90d	1	-11.5%	-19.9%	0%	0%	-19.9%
all	1	-11.5%	-19.9%	0%	0%	-19.9%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover4.0 tr/day

realistic slip~7%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	-19.9%	0%	-19.9%
10%	-27.6%	0%	-27.6%
15%	-34.6%	0%	-34.6%
20%	-41.0%	0%	-41.0%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.09 · official $20.09 (match) · 4 history records