Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:29:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc60a…a217
crypto · 57 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$130 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$140 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$682
Realized+$140
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses25 / 27
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions5
Markets (closed)52 / 57
History coverage49d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 5 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days−$15
14 days+$124
30 days+$123
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No 94¢ 97¢ $300 $310 +$10 (+3%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Yes 72¢ 69¢ $140 $133 −$7 (-5%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Yes 60¢ 53¢ $140 $124 −$16 (-11%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes 74¢ 62¢ $100 $83 −$17 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $15 $28 +$13 (+88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+85%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 75¢ 76¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 54¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 12 $271 +$37 +14%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $16 +$7 +44%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $36 −$10 -28%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $35 −$35 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $20 −$11 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $21 −$6 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 02 $5 +$16 +303%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 02 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 02 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 02 $5 +$11 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 02 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 02 $11 +$5 +46%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $350 +$119 +34%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 30 $15 +$13 +85%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $51 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 29 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 29 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 29 $21 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 29 $20 −$13 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 29 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 29 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 29 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 29 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +14%
Claude 4.8 released by May 31? May 29 $121 +$42 +35%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? May 28 $197 −$33 -17%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? May 28 $290 −$43 -15%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 26 $15 +$10 +65%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? May 26 $50 +$17 +34%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25? May 26 $25 −$14 -55%
Lakers vs. Rockets May 26 $18 −$1 -5%
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final? May 05 $10 −$6 -62%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? May 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 74% +$51
other 10% +$89
crypto 8% +$37
sports 8% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 74¢ $100 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 94¢ $300 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 72¢ $40 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? BUY Yes 63¢ $40 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 73¢ $100 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? BUY Yes 59¢ $100 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $16 26h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 28¢ $15 41h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 29¢ $5 42h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 28¢ $10 42h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 12¢ $9 43h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 23¢ $10 44h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 24¢ $2 44h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 23¢ $10 44h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 51¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $30 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 5d
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 34¢ $9 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 72¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -35.9% -42.0% 30% 30% -13.0%
≤30d 48 +4.3% -5.6% 48% 42% -3.3%
≤90d 52 +40.5% +27.1% 48% 42% -2.9%
all 52 +40.5% +27.1% 48% 42% -2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +27.1% 42% -2.9%
10% +15.0% 38% -12.2%
15% +3.9% 29% -20.7%
20% -6.3% 23% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $682.46 · official $682.26 (match) · 143 history records