trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 50% | 50% | -36.8% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +4.5% | -5.4% | 67% | 50% | -17.0% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -34.8% | -41.0% | 42% | 32% | -19.0% |
| all | 26 | -18.9% | -26.6% | 42% | 31% | -27.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.6% | 31% | -27.2% |
| 10% | -33.6% | 23% | -34.2% |
| 15% | -40.0% | 19% | -40.5% |
| 20% | -45.9% | 15% | -46.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $380 | $382 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Harry Kane: 2+ goals | Yes | 28¢ | 18¢ | $60 | $39 | −$21 (-36%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $133 | +$67 | +50% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $128 | +$195 | +152% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $219 | −$214 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $278 | −$273 | -98% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $495 | +$105 | +21% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 17 | $144 | +$6 | +4% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 22 | $489 | +$111 | +23% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 19 | $170 | +$130 | +76% |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? | May 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $39 | −$39 | -98% |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B | May 12 | $316 | −$312 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B | May 12 | $232 | −$228 | -98% |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League | May 12 | $883 | +$117 | +13% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 7? | May 06 | $60 | −$58 | -97% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 7? | May 06 | $19 | −$18 | -96% |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026? | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 05 | $4 | −$4 | -95% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4? | May 04 | $45 | $0 | +1% |
| Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America | May 04 | $569 | −$11 | -2% |
| Magic vs. Suns | Feb 21 | $940 | −$940 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies | Feb 21 | $495 | +$405 | +82% |
| Spurs vs. Hornets | Jan 31 | $1,054 | −$1,054 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Thunder | Jan 28 | $266 | +$1,134 | +426% |
| Spurs vs. Jazz | Jan 22 | $576 | −$576 | -100% |
| Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto end in a draw? | Nov 06 | $44 | −$17 | -38% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 30 | $12 | $0 | +2% |