Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:29:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc617…0d15
other · 403 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,628 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,698 · open −$1,623
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$163
Realized−$5,698
Unrealized−$1,623
Win rate (resolved)1%
Wins / losses3 / 313
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions189
Markets (closed)316 / 403
History coverage3d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day1125.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 189 History 316 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,562
7 days−$5,698
14 days−$5,698
30 days−$5,698
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 96¢ 97¢ $19 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 96¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 81¢ 80¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 28¢ 28¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Haiti to score first vs. Scotland? Yes 33¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Will Desmond Bane win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Jose Alvarado win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Scottie Barnes win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Nickeil Alexander-Walker win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Brandon Miller win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Paolo Banchero win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Kevin Durant win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Evan Mobley win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Brandon Ingram win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Luke Kornet win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on June 10? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 7? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9? Jun 13 $10 −$11 -112%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.50–$1.75 in May? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 11? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–$3.50 in May? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 80°F or higher on Jun Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on June 7? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 7? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 10? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on June 8? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$78 -5798%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 13 $2 −$6 -396%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 94°F or higher on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -267%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 8? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on June 10? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 13 $2 −$6 -396%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 7? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C or higher on June Jun 13 $1 −$2 -243%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 7? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on June 8? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C or below on June 10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $9 −$12 -142%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 9? Jun 13 $0 +$3 +725%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on June 11? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 8? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will NRG win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -194%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$79 -5814%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$2,671
economics 21% $0
sports 15% −$207
politics 12% −$1,299
tech 2% −$678
world 1% $0
culture 0% $0
finance 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $49 0m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $3 0m
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $20 0m
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $19 0m
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $6 0m
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $20 0m
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 81¢ $16 0m
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $20 0m
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY No 96¢ $49 0m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $3 0m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $49 0m
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $20 0m
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $20 0m
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $19 0m
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $20 0m
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 81¢ $16 0m
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $6 0m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $49 0m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $3 0m
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY No 96¢ $49 0m
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 81¢ $16 0m
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $19 0m
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $20 0m
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $6 0m
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $20 0m
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $20 0m
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY No 96¢ $49 1m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $3 1m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $49 1m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $49 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-90.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 316 -89.0% -90.1% 1% 1% -98.2%
≤30d 316 -89.0% -90.1% 1% 1% -98.2%
≤90d 316 -89.0% -90.1% 1% 1% -98.2%
all 316 -89.0% -90.1% 1% 1% -98.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1125.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -90.1% 1% -98.2%
10% ← realistic here -91.0% 1% -98.4%
15% -91.9% 1% -98.6%
20% -92.7% 1% -98.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $163.10 · official $163.10 (match) · 3500 history records