Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:02:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc618…6e8f
crypto · 1455 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$143 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$143 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$143
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1021 / 434
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1455 / 1455
History coverage33d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day71.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1455 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$65
7 days+$32
14 days+$212
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$8 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$28 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$21 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$9 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$10 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$10 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$22 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$10 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$11 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$102
other 1% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $17 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $17 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $16 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $16 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $17 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $16 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $17 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $16 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $15 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $16 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $16 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $9 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 462 -4.0% -13.1% 60% 60% -8.8%
≤30d 1193 +0.0% -9.5% 70% 52% -10.4%
≤90d 1455 -0.2% -9.7% 70% 55% -10.5%
all 1455 -0.2% -9.7% 70% 55% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 55% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 28% -19.0%
15% -26.2% 22% -26.9%
20% -33.4% 17% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records