Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T09:06:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc61c…7b2f crypto 1273 markets active 2d ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (134 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,208 (+3%) realized +$1,208 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate59%758W / 521L
Drawdown56%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day133.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days−$38
14 days−$52
30 days+$1,159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,235
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (134 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 229 -13.7% -21.9% 40% 40% -11.2%
≤30d 1279 -0.6% -10.1% 59% 57% -6.6%
≤90d 1279 -0.6% -10.1% 59% 57% -6.6%
all 1279 -0.6% -10.1% 59% 57% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover133.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 57% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 55% -15.5%
15% -26.6% 52% -23.7%
20% -33.8% 40% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$24 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,208
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses758 / 521
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1279 / 1273
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$29
Trades / day133.7
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1279 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$8 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$16 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records