Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T01:49:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc62a…e735 other 1636 markets active 0h ago coverage 93d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 93d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$25 (+0%) realized +$25 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%1631W / 4L
Drawdown86%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day17.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit49%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$2
14 days+$6
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 51% +$10
sports 47% −$1
world 1% +$1
politics 0% +$1
tech 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
finance 0% $0
weather 0% $0
culture 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 918 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 1621 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 1% -9.4%
all 1635 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 1% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.76 per $1 lost it wins $1.76
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

93d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1631 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1635 / 1636
History coverage93d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit49%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1635 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
WTT - Men's Singles: Joao Geraldo vs Iulian Chirita Geraldo 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-6.5) vs ShindeN (+6.5) Jun 29 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Solid (-4.5) vs F4TALITY (+4.5) Jun 29 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 29 $5 $0 +0%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Kawkab AC: Neither team to score first? Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Will Daniel Berger finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Travelers Champions Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 3 AA Ponte Preta? Jun 28 $4 $0 +0%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 28 $4 $0 +0%
HUS Agadir vs. RCA Zemamra: RCA Zemamra 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-3.5) vs UNO MILLE (+3.5) Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Difaâ Hassani El Jadida 3 - 2 Kawkab AC? Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: AS FAR 3 - 2 UnionTouargaSports? Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Kent vs Northamptonshire Steelbacks - Comp Jun 28 $5 $0 +1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-6.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+6.5) Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India - Team Top Batter Irelan Jun 28 $5 $0 +1%
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA Jun 28 $5 $0 +1%
Maharaja T20 Trophy: Shivamogga Yodhas vs Coastal Kings Mangaluru Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: WOL (-2.5) vs WST (+2.5) Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Honor of Kings: Xianyou Gaming vs WanZhen Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Honor of Kings: Flash Wolves vs FPT Polytechnic - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Rainbow Six Siege: POZY vs Titan Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winne Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Atmosphere" during the Jordan vs Argentina FI Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Jordan vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even? Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Nicolás González: 1+ goals + assists Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Croatia v Jun 28 $5 $0 +1%
Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Panama vs Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Cucho Hernández: 1+ shots Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
João Félix: 1+ goals + assists Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Record" during the Panama vs England FIFA Wor Jun 28 $5 $0 +0%
Will Toulouse win the 2026 Top 14 Final? Jun 28 $5 $0 +1%
Nikola Vlašić: 5+ shots Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Ante Budimir: 1+ assists Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Toni Fruk: 1+ shots Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ALKA GAMING (-6.5) vs paiN Academy (+6.5) Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Criciúma EC 2 - 0 São Bernardo FC? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will MrBeast say "America" during his next YouTube video? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Game Hunters (-3.5) vs Vexa (+3.5) Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier: Bahamas vs Belize - Tos Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? Jun 27 $5 $0 +1%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? Jun 27 $5 $0 +1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5) Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs Rogue Warriors - Game 3 Winner Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Ireland - Who wins the toss? Jun 27 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
WTT - Men's Singles: Joao Geraldo vs Iulian Chirita BUY Geraldo 100¢ $5 1m
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-6.5) vs ShindeN (+6.5) BUY ShindeN 100¢ $5 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Solid (-4.5) vs F4TALITY (+4.5) BUY F4TALITY 100¢ $5 2h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 4h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Kawkab AC: Neither team to score first? BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 3 AA Ponte Preta? BUY No 100¢ $4 4h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 4h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 100¢ $4 4h
Will Daniel Berger finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Travelers Champions BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
HUS Agadir vs. RCA Zemamra: RCA Zemamra 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: AS FAR 3 - 2 UnionTouargaSports? BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Difaâ Hassani El Jadida 3 - 2 Kawkab AC? BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-3.5) vs UNO MILLE (+3.5) BUY Fluxo 100¢ $5 7h
T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Kent vs Northamptonshire Steelbacks - Comp BUY Yes 99¢ $5 8h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 8h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-6.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+6.5) BUY Yawara Esports 100¢ $5 8h
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India - Team Top Batter Irelan BUY Yes 99¢ $5 9h
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA BUY No 99¢ $5 11h
Game Handicap: WOL (-2.5) vs WST (+2.5) BUY Wolves 100¢ $5 12h
Maharaja T20 Trophy: Shivamogga Yodhas vs Coastal Kings Mangaluru BUY Coastal Kings Mangaluru 100¢ $5 12h
Honor of Kings: Xianyou Gaming vs WanZhen Esports Club - Game 3 Winner BUY Xianyou Gaming 100¢ $5 12h
Honor of Kings: Flash Wolves vs FPT Polytechnic - Game 3 Winner BUY Flash Wolves 100¢ $5 14h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winne BUY ex-MANA eSports 100¢ $5 15h
Rainbow Six Siege: POZY vs Titan Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY Titan Esports Club 100¢ $5 15h
Jordan vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even? BUY Even 100¢ $5 21h
Nicolás González: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 21h
Will the announcers say "Atmosphere" during the Jordan vs Argentina FI BUY Yes 100¢ $5 22h
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Croatia v BUY No 99¢ $5 23h
Cucho Hernández: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 24h
João Félix: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.97 · official $2.48 · 3500 history records