trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -63.3% | -66.8% | 10% | 10% | -72.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -63.3% | -66.8% | 10% | 10% | -72.6% |
| all | 18 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 39% | 39% | -13.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 39% | -13.9% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 28% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 28% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 22% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 12¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+32%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | Jun 12 | $3 | −$2 | -54% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$1 | -27% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +149% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-14? | Feb 14 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Feb 12 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Feb 12 | $1 | +$1 | +101% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Feb 12 | $2 | +$10 | +516% |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | Feb 11 | $1 | $0 | -40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | Feb 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | Feb 11 | $1 | +$1 | +114% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | Feb 09 | $2 | $0 | +11% |