trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +20.2% | +8.7% | 50% | 25% | +31.3% |
| all | 15 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 40% | 13% | +1.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.0% | 13% | +1.2% |
| 10% | -11.4% | 13% | -8.5% |
| 15% | -20.0% | 13% | -17.3% |
| 20% | -27.8% | 13% | -25.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Jun 23 | $95 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 04 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Ducks vs. Wild | Apr 15 | $234 | +$208 | +89% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $31 | −$3 | -8% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pelicans | Mar 22 | $288 | +$162 | +56% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Mar 18 | $194 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | Mar 18 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Mar 14 | $3 | $0 | -13% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 09 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 09 | $198 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 05 | $282 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Feb 28 | $297 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 24 | $296 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 20 | $595 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 18 | $295 | $0 | -0% |