Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:47:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc631…0763
sports · 6 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$3 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)3 / 6
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 3 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Over 49¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 Over 30¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $2 +$3 +118%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% +$3
other 40% +$2
crypto 13% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 30¢ $2 59m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $2 8h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 4d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 4d
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 49¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +25.1% +13.2% 67% 67% +24.6%
≤30d 3 +25.1% +13.2% 67% 67% +24.6%
≤90d 3 +25.1% +13.2% 67% 67% +24.6%
all 3 +25.1% +13.2% 67% 67% +24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +13.2% 67% +24.6%
10% +2.4% 67% +12.7%
15% -7.5% 67% +1.8%
20% -16.6% 67% -8.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.41 · official $7.41 (match) · 8 history records