trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 67% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 50% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 38% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 25 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 32% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 25 | $31 | $0 | +1% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 24 | $57 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 26 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $26 | +$1 | +3% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $13 | $0 | -2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 25 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Jan 31 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 11 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 08 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | Oct 07 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Oct 07 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 07 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Oct 06 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 06 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | Oct 05 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 05 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025? | Oct 05 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Oct 04 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Oct 02 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | Oct 02 | $28 | $0 | +0% |