Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:45:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc65f…3423 crypto 227 markets active 0h ago coverage 16d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$19 (+2%) realized +$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate42%95W / 132L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day63.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$42
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 73% +$18
world 22% −$5
tech 3% −$25
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 164 -4.0% -13.1% 42% 29% -18.9%
≤30d 227 -2.4% -11.7% 42% 27% -11.0%
≤90d 227 -2.4% -11.7% 42% 27% -11.0%
all 227 -2.4% -11.7% 42% 27% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 27% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 9% -19.5%
15% -27.9% 5% -27.3%
20% -34.9% 3% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 37% · top 2 47% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
34% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.23 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses95 / 132
Open positions0
Markets (closed)227 / 227
History coverage16d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day63.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 227 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1035 history records