Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T13:47:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
C6 0xc66a…ed6a sports 618 markets active 2h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (176 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$90,719 (+29%) realized +$90,719 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -6% what you keep after slip
Net edge-6%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate80%492W / 122L
Whale WR71%big bets
Drawdown16%max
Avg bet$508per market
Trades / day175.8pace
Fees−$2,409est.
Kalshi-fit63%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 20d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 59% +$18,213
other 38% +$18,838
crypto 2% +$663
world 0% +$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (176 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 309 +33.4% +20.7% 79% 53% +5.0%
≤30d 614 +27.5% +15.4% 80% 52% +1.4%
≤90d 614 +27.5% +15.4% 80% 52% +1.4%
all 614 +27.5% +15.4% 80% 52% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover175.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.4% 52% +1.4%
10% +4.3% 30% -8.3%
15% ← realistic here -5.8% 21% -17.1%
20% -15.0% 14% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +12% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +28% · $-wt +12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 71% (≥$754) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +21% → late +34% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$121 vs −$177 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.75 per $1 lost it wins $2.75
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$90,719
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses492 / 122
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$2,409
Open positions0
Markets (closed)614 / 618
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$508
Trades / day175.8
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit63%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 614 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5) Jun 26 $7 $0 +6%
Qingdao Hainiu FC leading at halftime? Jun 26 $49 +$49 +99%
Yunnan Yukun FC leading at halftime? Jun 26 $114 +$23 +20%
Türkiye vs. United States: Second half draw? Jun 26 $678 +$41 +6%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 26 $194 −$153 -79%
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States? Jun 26 $92 −$2 -2%
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States? Jun 26 $2 $0 +8%
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 26 $700 +$494 +71%
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5 Jun 26 $700 +$53 +8%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 26 $5 −$3 -59%
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? Jun 26 $1,262 −$130 -10%
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $1,000 −$185 -18%
Türkiye vs. United States: Draw at halftime? Jun 26 $23 +$16 +70%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Türkiye vs. United States: Draw at Jun 26 $512 +$305 +60%
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 26 $1 +$1 +102%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 26 $10 $0 +3%
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 United States? Jun 26 $76 +$6 +7%
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Will Nether Jun 26 $763 +$985 +129%
Japan to win the second half? Jun 26 $2 +$1 +52%
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 26 $8 +$4 +46%
Japan to score first vs. Sweden? Jun 26 $38 +$36 +96%
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 1 Sweden? Jun 26 $181 +$17 +10%
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? Jun 26 $825 +$184 +22%
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden? Jun 26 $358 +$137 +38%
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Jun 26 $377 +$202 +53%
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Netherlands? Jun 26 $92 +$6 +6%
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score Jun 26 $4 +$1 +35%
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands? Jun 26 $474 +$91 +19%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 25 $155 +$6 +4%
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? Jun 25 $1,003 +$51 +5%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $993 +$38 +4%
Netherlands to score first vs. Tunisia? Jun 25 $157 +$12 +8%
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win Jun 25 $510 +$1,045 +205%
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Will Côte d'I Jun 25 $510 +$1,074 +210%
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany? Jun 25 $68 +$31 +46%
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany? Jun 25 $92 +$7 +8%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $1,000 +$168 +17%
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 25 $38 +$12 +31%
Exact Score: Curaçao 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? Jun 25 $63 +$25 +39%
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 25 $6 +$9 +135%
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5 Jun 25 $1 $0 +8%
Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Curaçao? Jun 25 $9 +$1 +8%
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 25 $511 +$22 +4%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $976 +$36 +4%
Germany leading at halftime? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $509 +$245 +48%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 25 $3 +$1 +22%
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5 Jun 25 $16 +$2 +13%
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Jun 25 $76 +$19 +25%
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 25 $947 +$24 +2%
Mexico to win the second half? Jun 25 $700 +$58 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5) SELL Qingdao Hainiu FC 91¢ $7 1h
Qingdao Hainiu FC leading at halftime? SELL Yes 69¢ $0 1h
Qingdao Hainiu FC leading at halftime? SELL Yes 69¢ $46 1h
Qingdao Hainiu FC leading at halftime? SELL Yes 69¢ $51 1h
Yunnan Yukun FC leading at halftime? SELL No 92¢ $137 1h
Qingdao Hainiu FC leading at halftime? BUY Yes 34¢ $49 2h
Yunnan Yukun FC leading at halftime? BUY No 76¢ $114 2h
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5) BUY Qingdao Hainiu FC 85¢ $7 2h
Türkiye vs. United States: Second half draw? SELL No 78¢ $718 10h
Türkiye vs. United States: Second half draw? BUY No 73¢ $678 10h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 7¢ $37 11h
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States? SELL No 90¢ $0 11h
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States? SELL No 90¢ $90 11h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 8¢ $1 11h
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States? SELL No 99¢ $2 11h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 8¢ $2 11h
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $1,194 11h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $753 11h
United States leading at halftime? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 11h
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? SELL No 73¢ $905 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 48¢ $815 11h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 33¢ $95 11h
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 11h
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States? BUY No 92¢ $92 11h
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $35 11h
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $7 11h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 33¢ $99 11h
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States? BUY No 92¢ $2 11h
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $326 11h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 92¢ $700 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $500.00 · 3500 history records