Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:10:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
C6 0xc66f…b051 crypto 572 markets active 2d ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (85 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$203 (-6%) realized −$203 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate56%322W / 250L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day84.5pace
Fees−$13est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$164
7 days−$270
14 days−$303
30 days−$298
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$216
sports 14% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (85 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 -10.0% -18.6% 50% 49% -24.4%
≤30d 572 -5.8% -14.8% 56% 53% -17.5%
≤90d 572 -5.8% -14.8% 56% 53% -17.5%
all 572 -5.8% -14.8% 56% 53% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover84.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 53% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 43% -25.4%
15% -30.4% 40% -32.6%
20% -37.2% 37% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$203
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses322 / 250
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)572 / 572
History coverage13d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day84.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 572 Trades
no open positions (203 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $464 −$82 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $246 +$136 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $136 −$131 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $67 −$65 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +80%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$6 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 58¢ $52 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 61¢ $3 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 37¢ $37 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 71¢ $50 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $50 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 68¢ $33 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 35¢ $75 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $102 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 54¢ $85 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 64¢ $51 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $51 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 41¢ $27 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 47¢ $24 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $5 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 36¢ $1 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 49¢ $40 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 35¢ $64 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $2 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $38 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $46 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 22¢ $5 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 13¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $30 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $11 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $11 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1134 history records