trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 24% | 10% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 36% | 24% | -8.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 36% | 24% | -8.5% |
| all | 26 | +6.3% | -3.8% | 38% | 27% | +10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.8% | 27% | +10.3% |
| 10% | -13.0% | 15% | -0.2% |
| 15% | -21.4% | 8% | -9.9% |
| 20% | -29.1% | 4% | -18.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$3 | -20% |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $13 | $0 | -2% |
| Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $17 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $14 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $14 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $12 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $17 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $29 | −$3 | -11% |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $19 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$9 | +203% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$5 | -28% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $7 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $14 | +$5 | +35% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 09 | $8 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $8 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $8 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 07 | $3 | +$1 | +31% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $296 | +$127 | +43% |