Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:43:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc67e…ed46
sports · 345 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$807 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$800 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$302
Realized−$800
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses132 / 204
Est. fees paid−$78
Open positions8
Markets (closed)336 / 345
History coverage450d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 8 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$32
14 days−$41
30 days−$418
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $130 $127 −$3 (-2%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 81¢ 80¢ $97 $96 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 57¢ 56¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 62¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+4%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 61¢ 59¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-14%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 17¢ 15¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-12%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 14¢ 11¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 62¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 25¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner Tricked 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 29¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 Winner FALKE Esports 35¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Zena Esports 76¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 51¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 53¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 10¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BC.Game Esports 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner Nuclear TigeRES 48¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Uwinks vs FENNEL - Game 1 Winner Uwinks 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 49¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 55¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 58¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Arsenal FC 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $40 −$20 -51%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $136 −$11 -8%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 29 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 29 $15 −$10 -64%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 29 $2 −$1 -58%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 29 $7 −$5 -68%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $5 $0 -3%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 29 $15 −$3 -18%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 29 $6 −$2 -41%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $10 −$4 -44%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 29 $11 +$24 +226%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $17 −$6 -35%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 28 $20 +$14 +71%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $7 +$1 +13%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 27 $12 −$5 -44%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $46 −$46 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 26 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner May 25 $10 −$5 -51%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 25 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winner May 25 $5 −$1 -12%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 25 $3 +$3 +115%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 25 $3 −$2 -97%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $5 +$6 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 23 $4 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 23 $5 +$3 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 23 $28 −$18 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 23 $29 +$19 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 23 $13 −$7 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 23 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 23 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 23 $78 −$73 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 23 $13 −$9 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 23 $5 −$3 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 23 $13 −$8 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 23 $4 −$3 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 23 $27 −$17 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 23 $11 −$8 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 23 $4 −$3 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 23 $28 −$19 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 23 $13 −$9 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 23 $4 −$3 -83%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 23 $30 −$20 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 23 $12 −$9 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 23 $6 −$3 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 23 $5 −$2 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 23 $29 −$18 -64%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $15 −$2 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$439
crypto 29% −$140
other 5% −$19
world 4% −$160
politics 1% −$35
economics 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $98 11m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 17¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $11 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $91 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 61¢ $10 14h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 57¢ $30 14h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 10¢ $10 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $20 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $41 14h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 35¢ $20 15h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 69¢ $40 21h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $106 21h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 21h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 22¢ $17 21h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $36 21h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 20¢ $10 13d
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner BUY HANJIN BRION 16¢ $4 14d
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner SELL HANJIN BRION $1 14d
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner SELL HANJIN BRION $4 14d
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner BUY HANJIN BRION $15 14d
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL LGD Gaming $0 14d
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL LGD Gaming $1 14d
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY LGD Gaming $2 14d
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 10¢ $4 14d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner SELL Dplus KIA 47¢ $5 14d
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL ThunderTalk Gaming 21¢ $2 14d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 47¢ $5 14d
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 34¢ $4 14d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner SELL Kiwoom DRX 14¢ $4 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-22.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -29.5% -36.2% 0% 0% -25.8%
≤30d 307 -10.9% -19.4% 40% 39% -12.6%
≤90d 323 -11.5% -19.9% 41% 39% -15.4%
all 336 -14.6% -22.7% 39% 38% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.7% 38% -18.9%
10% -30.1% 33% -26.6%
15% -36.8% 27% -33.7%
20% -43.0% 22% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $302.33 · official $312.34 · 884 history records