Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:52:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc688…88a5 crypto 1992 markets active 0h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 32d only
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$309 (-1%) realized −$309 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate70%1505W / 642L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day62.0pace
Kalshi-fit70%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,809
7 days−$1,777
14 days−$1,672
30 days−$700
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$1,078
other 5% −$223
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 615 -45.3% -50.5% 41% 33% -74.3%
≤30d 1777 -10.1% -18.6% 69% 56% -13.4%
≤90d 2147 -8.8% -17.5% 70% 56% -13.2%
all 2147 -8.8% -17.5% 70% 56% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 56% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 35% -21.5%
15% -32.6% 21% -29.1%
20% -39.2% 12% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -18% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$8 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized−$309
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1505 / 642
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2147 / 1992
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day62.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2147 Trades
no open positions (496 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $49 −$49 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $47 −$47 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $90 −$90 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $46 −$46 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 8m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $89 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $87 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $83 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 8h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $81 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 10h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.84 · official $4.84 (match) · 3500 history records