trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? | No | 81¢ | 79¢ | $17 | $17 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | Up | 7¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? | Jun 12 | $17 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? | Jun 12 | $17 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? | Jun 11 | $15 | +$2 | +12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | May 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? | BUY No | 81¢ | $18 | 1h |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? | SELL No | 98¢ | $18 | 1h |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? | BUY No | 86¢ | $17 | 10h |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? | SELL No | 100¢ | $18 | 18h |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? | BUY No | 87¢ | $17 | 31h |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? | SELL No | 99¢ | $16 | 44h |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? | BUY No | 81¢ | $15 | 2d |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | BUY Up | 7¢ | $5 | 25d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +6.9% | -3.3% | 100% | 33% | -3.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -19.9% | -27.5% | 75% | 25% | -13.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -19.9% | -27.5% | 75% | 25% | -13.3% |
| all | 4 | -19.9% | -27.5% | 75% | 25% | -13.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.5% | 25% | -13.3% |
| 10% | -34.4% | 0% | -21.6% |
| 15% | -40.8% | 0% | -29.2% |
| 20% | -46.6% | 0% | -36.1% |