trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 0% | 0% | -14.5% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 0% | 0% | -14.5% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 0% | 0% | -14.5% |
| all | 16 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 0% | 0% | -14.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -19.2% | 0% | -14.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -27.0% | 0% | -22.7% |
| 15% | -34.0% | 0% | -30.1% |
| 20% | -40.5% | 0% | -37.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 3 | Jun 21 | $53 | −$5 | -9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | Jun 21 | $55 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 21 | $12 | −$3 | -24% |
| Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | Jun 21 | $26 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombi | Jun 21 | $45 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 21 | $49 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June? | Jun 20 | $60 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 20 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more? | Jun 20 | $3 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Electio | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | -46% |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 10% or more | Jun 20 | $62 | −$7 | -10% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Jun 20 | $109 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Jun 20 | $16 | −$2 | -13% |
| Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election? | Jun 20 | $19 | −$6 | -30% |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | Jun 19 | $32 | −$4 | -14% |