Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:03:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc69d…a345
crypto · 1488 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$69 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1024 / 464
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1488 / 1488
History coverage84d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1488 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$16
14 days−$12
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +3.7% -6.2% 81% 56% -5.8%
≤30d 247 -0.2% -9.7% 79% 45% -9.3%
≤90d 1488 +1.8% -7.9% 69% 57% -10.5%
all 1488 +1.8% -7.9% 69% 57% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 57% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 51% -19.1%
15% -24.7% 41% -26.9%
20% -32.1% 16% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records