Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:19:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6a1…5558
crypto · 400 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$153 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$153 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days+$224
14 days+$158
30 days+$153
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 96¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 96¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 26? Yes 35¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 26? Yes 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 93¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 26? Yes 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26? Yes 35¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 26? Yes 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 26? Yes 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 96¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26? Yes 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 87¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $300 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $200 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $302 +$5 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $209 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $650 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $641 +$15 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $639 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $631 +$3 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $620 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $100 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $616 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $613 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $601 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $597 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $295 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $581 +$10 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $574 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 09 $561 +$13 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $551 +$10 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $200 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $536 +$11 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $526 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $531 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $525 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $520 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $515 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $504 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $496 +$9 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Jun 08 $475 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET Jun 06 $244 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 05 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 05 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET Jun 05 $400 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET Jun 05 $377 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET Jun 05 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 05 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET Jun 05 $471 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 05 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 05 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 05 $463 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5AM ET Jun 05 $460 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4AM ET Jun 05 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4AM ET Jun 05 $250 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 05 $225 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2AM ET Jun 05 $453 +$2 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$232
other 3% −$74
weather 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $102 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $213 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $650 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $641 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $639 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $633 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $631 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $202 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +1.2% -8.5% 96% 0% -8.4%
≤30d 400 -1.3% -10.7% 94% 4% -9.1%
≤90d 400 -1.3% -10.7% 94% 4% -9.1%
all 400 -1.3% -10.7% 94% 4% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 4% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 2% -17.8%
15% -27.0% 1% -25.7%
20% -34.2% 1% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 843 history records