Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:31:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6a2…9524
crypto · 153 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$432 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$432 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$432
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses79 / 74
Open positions0
Markets (closed)153 / 153
History coverage140d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$115
7 days−$115
14 days−$183
30 days−$182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $276 $0 −$276 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $279 −$276 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $140 +$144 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $107 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$72 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$50 +471%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$21 +402%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$12 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$44 +831%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$31 +267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 02 $42 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 02 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 02 $25 +$25 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET May 15 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET May 15 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 14 $51 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 14 $31 −$9 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 14 $12 −$6 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 14 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 14 $7 +$4 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 14 $8 +$3 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$333
world 4% −$98
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $7 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $7 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +78.3% +61.3% 53% 53% -20.8%
≤30d 76 +11.8% +1.2% 71% 71% -20.0%
≤90d 153 -7.6% -16.4% 52% 50% -24.5%
all 153 -7.6% -16.4% 52% 50% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.4% 50% -24.5%
10% -24.4% 21% -31.7%
15% -31.7% 20% -38.3%
20% -38.4% 18% -44.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 685 history records