Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:09:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6a4…cda5
crypto · 1727 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$51 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1218 / 493
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions15
Markets (closed)1711 / 1727
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day243.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 15 History 1711 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$247
7 days−$854
14 days−$52
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 73¢ 72¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 69¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+45%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? No 75¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+31%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 83¢ 96¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+15%)
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%? Yes 79¢ 93¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+17%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? Yes 82¢ 88¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? No 68¢ 81¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+19%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 80¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 78¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 76¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 80¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 72¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 73¢ 70¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 78¢ 57¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +119%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$52
sports 1% +$3
other 1% −$2
politics 0% +$1
world 0% +$1
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 43m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 53m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 640 -15.1% -23.2% 61% 59% -43.9%
≤30d 1711 +0.3% -9.2% 71% 68% -10.0%
≤90d 1711 +0.3% -9.2% 71% 68% -10.0%
all 1711 +0.3% -9.2% 71% 68% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover243.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 68% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 58% -18.6%
15% -25.9% 42% -26.4%
20% -33.1% 17% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.95 · official $25.72 · 3500 history records