Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:11:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6a5…4a13
crypto · 437 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$7 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses336 / 100
Open positions1
Markets (closed)436 / 437
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day155.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 436 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 436 +0.0% -9.5% 77% 39% -11.2%
≤30d 436 +0.0% -9.5% 77% 39% -11.2%
≤90d 436 +0.0% -9.5% 77% 39% -11.2%
all 436 +0.0% -9.5% 77% 39% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover155.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 39% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 14% -19.7%
15% -26.1% 1% -27.4%
20% -33.3% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.09 · official $1.09 (match) · 913 history records