Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T19:02:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc6a6…7247 crypto 216 markets active 5d ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1562 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,303 (+13%) realized +$1,303 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate54%116W / 100L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$45per market
Trades / day1561.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$315
tech 1% +$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1562 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 216 +7.1% -3.1% 54% 51% -12.1%
≤30d 216 +7.1% -3.1% 54% 51% -12.1%
≤90d 216 +7.1% -3.1% 54% 51% -12.1%
all 216 +7.1% -3.1% 54% 51% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1561.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.1% 51% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -12.4% 49% -20.5%
15% -20.8% 45% -28.2%
20% -28.6% 43% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
15.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$29 vs −$36 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,303
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses116 / 100
Open positions0
Markets (closed)216 / 216
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$45
Trades / day1561.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 216 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$157 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$41 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$16 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$16 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$16 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $96 +$71 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $105 −$42 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$8 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $76 −$51 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $48 −$18 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$53 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$14 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $58 +$41 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$36 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$24 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $57 +$31 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$14 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$24 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$28 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$50 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$17 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$10 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records