Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:11:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6ab…b16e
crypto · 1331 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,377 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,612 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$4,612
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1042 / 288
Whale WR (big bets)22%
Est. fees paid−$2,014
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1330 / 1331
History coverage30d
Avg bet$118
Trades / day76.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 1330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days−$27
14 days−$2,284
30 days−$4,612
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes 32¢ 4¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Jun 14 $36 −$12 -34%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Jun 14 $35 −$8 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$13 +222%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $34 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $318 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,143 −$12 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$12 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$6 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% −$4,002
crypto 35% +$139
other 15% −$561
world 2% −$123
finance 0% −$48
politics 0% +$6
tech 0% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 6m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $16 18m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $5 19m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $3 19m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $9 19m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $16 39m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 41m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $0 41m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $3 42m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $3 42m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? SELL No 25¢ $15 1h
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? SELL No 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 420 +1.0% -8.6% 90% 5% -9.8%
≤30d 1330 -0.4% -9.9% 78% 6% -12.2%
≤90d 1330 -0.4% -9.9% 78% 6% -12.2%
all 1330 -0.4% -9.9% 78% 6% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 6% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 5% -20.6%
15% -26.4% 5% -28.3%
20% -33.6% 5% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.26 · official $7.23 (match) · 3500 history records