Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:49:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6ac…3778
crypto · 1219 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,161 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,160 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,160
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses638 / 799
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1437 / 1219
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day385.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,517
7 days−$1,160
14 days−$1,160
30 days−$1,160
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 60¢ 16¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-72%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$531
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1437 -12.4% -20.8% 44% 38% -33.6%
≤30d 1437 -12.4% -20.8% 44% 38% -33.6%
≤90d 1437 -12.4% -20.8% 44% 38% -33.6%
all 1437 -12.4% -20.8% 44% 38% -33.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover385.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.8% 38% -33.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.4% 33% -40.0%
15% -35.3% 28% -45.8%
20% -41.6% 21% -51.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.26 · official $0.41 · 3500 history records